Ball State vs Eastern Michigan 10/16/2021

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Ball State winning 45% of simulations, and Eastern Michigan 55% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Ball State commits fewer turnovers in 48% of simulations and they go on to win 53% when they take care of the ball. Eastern Michigan wins 70% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Drew Plitt is averaging 250 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (39% chance) then he helps his team win 60%. Preston Hutchinson is averaging 291 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (33% chance) then he helps his team win 73%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is EMICH +1.5 --- Over/Under line is 54.5
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